Sunday Memo Library

The 100 Day Mark – What History Tells Us

  We don’t have to look any further than our investment statements to know that Donald Trump’s first 100 days were tough on the stock market. While a rocky first 100 days may be an indicator of lower returns, history shows that it doesn’t necessarily mean negative returns over the

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The Insecurity Around Social Security

  Social Security is a topic that makes a lot of people feel uneasy these days. With all the talk of government cuts, it’s hard not to wonder if Social Security will be next. Let’s start by understanding that Social Security is not an “entitlement” — it’s a program we’ve all paid

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Have An Unplugged Day!

  One of my all-time favorite days was The Great Blackout of 2011.  Yes– a blackout!   On September 8th 2011 at 3:30 in the afternoon there was a widespread power outage in San Diego that lasted 11 hours. Most people had to leave work and go home.  No computers, no TV, and

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Bond Tantrum: Why Trump Hit Pause

  It’s All About the Bonds This past week, President Trump hit the brakes on tariffs,  putting a 90-day pause in place. The reason might surprise you: the bond market threw a bit of a tantrum. So… why does that matter? Let’s break it down.   Bonds 101: The Basics Behind

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Tariffs: What We Can Control

Wow! Are you as happy as I was to hear the closing bell of the stock market this past Friday?  I am enjoying a 2-day reprieve from stock market losses and pray – truly, truly pray – for a bit of a bounce back on Monday. Let’s break down the impact

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My New Favorite Word

  I always love getting your feedback on my Sunday memos, and last week’s responses were exceptional. Thank you to all who shared! The article talked about the greatest investment that we can make is an investment in “connection, and knowing people have your back. … If we want stronger

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The Best Investment You Can Make

  The US has a happiness problem.    According to the 2025 World Happiness Report, Finland just ranked as the happiest country in the world for the eighth year in a row, followed by Denmark, Iceland, and Sweden. (1)   Despite the war with Hamas, Israel came in at eighth. Costa Rica and Mexico entered the top 10

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What’s Stirring Up the Market Mayhem This Week?

  Let me start by saying this is probably the most boring memo I will ever write.  That said, I think it’s worth understanding what is driving some of the recent market volatility.  Got any ideas?  Here’s a few hints: 1.  It’s not just the threat of a government shutdown

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Is Everything Coming Unraveled?

 In 2017, 59% of Americans said that the lowest point in our nation’s history is “right now.” It got worse. In 2024 67% of Americans believed we were at the lowest point in history.[1,2] What this tells me is that a majority of Americans believe that things are worse today

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Freeze! Back-up!

 If anyone yelled those words at me, I could almost guarantee that I would toss my hands up in the air, surrender, freeze, and slowly back up.  Perhaps it’s my catholic upbringing that makes me compliant.  Or maybe it’s the veracity of the recent news.   Either way, we need to

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We Love Our Kids … sorta!

  Just how great will “The Great Wealth Transfer” be?   The Baby Boomer generation, those born between 1946 and 1964, hold roughly 50% of all household wealth in the U.S – an estimated $78 Trillion. (1)   For years, economists and analysts have been predicting a large portion of that will fall to

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What The Super Bowl Reveals About The Markets

  It’s Super Bowl Sunday!  Time to whip up the guacamole and the superstitions.  There is a nonscientific Super Bowl predictor that says if the AFC wins, the stock market will decline and if the NFC wins, the markets will have a bull run in the upcoming year.  Does that

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Are Stocks Due for a Correction?

 Yes. We just don’t know when.  Markets correct.  They always do. Corrections, also referred to as “drawdowns,” occur each year.  Let’s go back five years and look at the maximum drawdowns for the S&P 500(1)   2020    -33.9% 2021    -5.2% 2022    -25.4% 2023    -10.3% 2024    -8.5%   What’s remarkable

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When Markets Behave Like Teenagers

  Lately, the markets have been acting like a petulant, over-reactionary teenager.  One day it’s full of joy and excitement, and the next day it’s rolling its’ eyes and sending chilling death glares our way.  It doesn’t take much to go from one extreme to another and the mood swings

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I’m Worried About My Insurance

  When was the last time you fell to your hands and knees and kissed the ground because you got an insurance renewal bill in the mail?   I don’t know about you, but if I do get my renewal in May, that is exactly what I will be doing!   Prior

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The Seduction of Pessimism

  Hearing that the world is headed for disaster and chaos is by far more interesting thanforeseeing a world that is steadily progressing.   The odds are the second statement is more accurate than the first.   Just look back at the way your parents, grandparents, and even your great

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What Remains When the Parties End?

  I’ve attended a fair amount of holiday gatherings over the past month. Oftentimes the conversations were pleasant – but could be defined as surface level, contrived, and trite.  I found those conversations to be tolerable and, at times, it was hard work to keep them going.   There were

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Fingers Crossed for This Social Security Gift!

  I’m doing a premature happy dance over the news about the Social Security Fairness Act. I fervently hope that our teachers, firefighters, police officers, and other public servants get a Social Security gift very soon. (1)      How?   Are you aware that retired public servants have been blocked

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Take Time to Reflect and Think Ahead

  I’m loving your account balances these days!  Are you aware that, thus far in 2024, more than20% of all trading days have ended at an all-time high?   [1]   That’s an average of more than oneper week.  I think this is a good time to take a pause

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At What Cost?

  One of my clients recently had an auto repair quote for $7,100 on his 1992 Toyota pickup.The truck has 272K miles. The body of the vehicle is in good shape – for its age.   What would you do? Keep it? Or send it to the graveyard?   Joe

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